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Toxicity-MM executable-markout veto

inconclusivestrategy

Question

Test whether an executable-markout veto improves the unchanged frozen replay baseline.

Verdict

Economically inconclusive despite formal selection; it cannot open the holdout or support profitability.

In plain language (1 term)

This site's own explanation of the words above. The verdict itself is published exactly as the research index records it and is not rewritten here.

holdout
A slice of the data set aside and deliberately never looked at, saved for one final test. Looking at it early spends it, and it cannot be put back.
Population
3,158,796 frozen opportunities; nine selected TAKE decisions.
Resolution
Candidate-level decision with aggregate economics and known-target coverage.
Cutoff
Final 90-day holdout unread.
Baseline
Unchanged frozen replay and preregistered point-estimate selection rule.

Limitations

Only one selected TAKE had a known target; no minimum-support confidence hurdle was preregistered.

Notes

No additional notes published for this entry.

Source

Citation
po-research:toxicity-mm-toxicity-veto:3e4a089e2215f89e
Write-up
docs/research/toxicity-mm-toxicity-veto.md
Data
docs/research/toxicity-mm-toxicity-veto.json
Artifact
research-index.json v1 — sha256:cb3d976779a5cbcb4188039a8d26d5e558a2d844030a638c2f16fe5a8eb0a2fe
Build data cutoff
2026-08-12
Issues
#176