PatchOracle

← Research verdicts

v2: the digest-bound NotFrozen non-result

non-resultstrategy

Question

Record v2's frozen/not-frozen status as an explicit non-result.

Verdict

v2 is WITHHELD, not frozen and not abandoned. Reason (re-recorded 2026-08-09): weighted-quote geometry is attributed, but the per-attempt frontier still ends at the grid wall under a fill model whose trade-off did not identify an interior optimum. Bound to docs/research/strategy.json's canonical digest 1eeb1ad85faa5d700330d0180334d38a8ea859596f3d140ffe2213e12e525887.

In plain language (4 terms)

This site's own explanation of the words above. The verdict itself is published exactly as the research index records it and is not rewritten here.

withheld
The work was done and the result was not published. That is a different thing from abandoned and a different thing from never attempted.
weighted quote
The headline price Hypixel reports, averaged across the orders on one side of the book rather than taken from the best one. It sits wider than the touch, about 1.8 percentage points at the median, so a spread measured against it overstates the real cost of crossing.
interior optimum
A best setting that sits inside the range searched rather than on its edge. Finding one is what shows the data picked the setting. Not finding one is why the search above is not treated as an answer.
canonical digest
A fingerprint of the exact numbers a verdict was written against. If the underlying result is ever regenerated and changes, the fingerprint stops matching and the claim no longer applies.
Population
n/a -- a version-status record, not a measured population.
Resolution
n/a -- non-result; no frozen sweep resolution.
Cutoff
Re-recorded live 2026-08-09, bound to strategy.json's canonical digest.
Baseline
n/a -- WITHHELD is a status, not a result graded against a null.

Limitations

v2 is WITHHELD, not frozen and not abandoned -- weighted-quote geometry is attributed, but the per-attempt frontier still ends at the grid wall under a fill model that did not identify an interior optimum.

Notes

REQUIRED NON-RESULT for issue #130's index acceptance criterion. Live-verified for this index (2026-08-09T22:59Z): calling `forward.versions.record_not_frozen(reason=..., date='2026-08-09', sweep_artifact=docs/research/strategy.json)` with the reason text quoted above reproduces sweep_sha256 == 1eeb1ad85faa5d700330d0180334d38a8ea859596f3d140ffe2213e12e525887 exactly -- the same digest ADR-0007's 2026-08-09 amendment states. `v1` remains the sole primary Gate C verdict (ADR-0007); this record does not change that. `forward/spec.py`'s pinned SPEC_SHA256 (c3d36101...) still matches the committed forward/strategy-v1.json on disk, verified live the same way -- v1's immutability is a standing, already-tested invariant (tests/test_forward.py, tests/test_forward_v2.py), asserted here rather than re-derived.

Source

Citation
po-research:v2-not-frozen:c9f3e310076ef945
Write-up
docs/adr/0007-two-strategy-versions-both-run-forward.md
Artifact
research-index.json v1 — sha256:cb3d976779a5cbcb4188039a8d26d5e558a2d844030a638c2f16fe5a8eb0a2fe
Build data cutoff
2026-08-12
Issues
#81, #84, #90, #92, #98, #101, #104